Tuesday, April 20, 2010

Greenies now start to predict a population fall-off eventually

Here’s another interesting perspective on population demographics by Cheryl Wetzstein in the “family & kids” commentary, “Greenies warned of birthrate crash”, link here.

She admits that some of the discussion of "demographic winter" comes from the "pro-family" right, especially the "natural family" advocacy of writers like Allan Carlson (Books blog, Sept. 2009).

She discusses the predictions of British social scientist Fred Pearce and author of “The Coming Population Crash: and Our Planet’s Surprising Future” (Beacon Press, available Apr 1), (web url) link here.

Larger families in poorer countries make a smaller ecological or carbon footprint than small families or even individuals in rich ones. But even in the developing world fertility will level off and eventually world population will start to decline, for the first time since the Black Plague.

That’s not necessarily a bad thing, if a population is older and wiser, if the economy can keep it employed and if people can stay healthier. But then the role of children and families as a component of human identity really will be put to the test.

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